Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.286337 0.381688 0.486621 0.608774 0.745371 0.891953 1.059764
2025-10-19 0.182615 0.312857 0.472429 0.673161 0.911478 1.179374 1.497898
2025-10-26 0.125806 0.268145 0.457896 0.709521 1.019448 1.377172 1.811220
2025-11-02 0.078511 0.220213 0.428066 0.718569 1.088700 1.525872 2.065424
2025-11-09 0.035167 0.157912 0.365076 0.674327 1.083978 1.580123 2.203489
2025-11-16 0.009810 0.106128 0.304382 0.623480 1.063559 1.609789 2.307712
2025-11-23 0.001400 0.077473 0.272282 0.606874 1.083139 1.685181 2.463791
2025-11-30 NaN 0.062814 0.260811 0.618040 1.137957 1.803357 2.670833
2025-12-07 NaN 0.046282 0.240320 0.612367 1.167885 1.888710 2.836711
2025-12-14 NaN 0.029419 0.211638 0.589746 1.171781 1.939027 2.958036
2025-12-21 NaN 0.027348 0.219274 0.627175 1.260542 2.099113 3.215844
2025-12-28 NaN 0.025670 0.227407 0.665288 1.350274 2.260554 3.475521
2026-01-04 NaN 0.022410 0.230984 0.697651 1.435277 2.420534 3.739654
2026-01-11 NaN 0.023266 0.248252 0.755007 1.557785 2.631236 4.069379
2026-01-18 NaN 0.021769 0.256970 0.796830 1.657391 2.811593 4.360737
2026-01-25 NaN 0.015967 0.247771 0.805568 1.708136 2.927401 4.570901
2026-02-01 NaN 0.006133 0.210447 0.758775 1.674591 2.930113 4.637198
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000792 0.172423 0.704554 1.626396 2.910884 4.673747
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.154202 0.686855 1.632101 2.962842 4.799831
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.150237 0.698765 1.683688 3.077120 5.005932
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.138749 0.692713 1.706278 3.151330 5.160150
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.120518 0.668564 1.698688 3.183211 5.259046
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.129007 0.708507 1.795017 3.359252 5.545378